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Oil falls over 1% on reports of potential US-Iran ceasefire deal

Oil falls over 1% on reports of potential US-Iran ceasefire deal

ReutersFri, May 29, 2026 at 3:57 AM UTC

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FILE PHOTO: A drone view of a pump jack and drilling rig south of Midland, Texas, U.S. June 11, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo

SINGAPORE, May 29 (Reuters) - Oil futures fell more than 1% on Friday and were on track for their steepest weekly decline since early April, following ‌reports that the U.S. and Iran had agreed to extend a ceasefire, ‌though it had yet to be finalised.

Brent crude futures for July fell 1.1% or $1.04 to $92.67 a barrel at ​0330 GMT. U.S. oil futures fell $1.26, or 1.4%, to $87.64 a barrel. Brent plunged 10.5% this week - the steepest plunge since the week that ended on April 6, while WTI fell 9.2% - the biggest weekly loss since the week that ended on April 13.

The U.S. and ‌Iran reached an agreement on ⁠Thursday to extend a ceasefire and lift restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, sources told Reuters, though U.S. President Donald Trump ⁠has yet to approve it and Iranian state media said it had not been finalised.

"Consensus remains the conflict is over, and a deal is coming. As long as this narrative holds, ​crude oil ​has room to extend its decline toward ​trendline support in the low $80s," IG ‌analyst Tony Sycamore said.

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Prices have been volatile in recent sessions, swinging by as much as $6 for both benchmarks on conflicting signals over a possible end to the three-month U.S.-Israeli war on Iran and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz - a key conduit for roughly a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas supplies.

Traffic through ‌the maritime chokepoint remains a small fraction of ​the pre-war level. Analysts at ING said a reopening ​of the strait would offer some ​immediate relief to the oil market, but a recovery is still ‌uncertain.

"Upstream oil production has fallen significantly since ​the war, with producers ​shutting in production in order to manage storage constraints," ING said in a note. "The recovery in upstream production will be gradual rather than immediate."

"Refineries in the ​region need to ramp up ‌output. This will take time, given that some of this infrastructure was ​targeted in attacks earlier in the conflict."

(Reporting by Helen Clark and Sudarshan Varadhan; ​Editing by Himani Sarkar and Thomas Derpinghaus)

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